Publications
Publications and public outputs
A selection of macroeconomic forecasts, research papers and other public outputs from my work at the European Commission, ECB, ESRB and European Parliament.
European Commission — DG ECFIN
European Economic Forecast — Summer 2022
Institutional Paper 183; Nikolas Mayer listed among contributors.
European Economic Forecast — Autumn 2022
Institutional Paper 187; named contributor to Member State sections.
European Economic Forecast — Winter 2023
Institutional Paper 194; named contributor.
European Economic Forecast — Spring 2023
Institutional Paper 200; named among contributors to Member State sections.
European Economic Forecast — Summer 2023
Institutional Paper 255; named contributor.
European Economic Forecast — Autumn 2023
Institutional Paper 258; named contributor to Member State sections.
European Economic Forecast — Winter 2024
Institutional Paper 268; named contributor.
European Economic Forecast — Spring 2024
Institutional Paper 286; named contributor to Member State sections.
European Economic Forecast — Autumn 2024
Institutional Paper 296; named contributor to Member State sections.
European Economic Forecast — Spring 2025
Institutional Paper 318; named contributor to Part III, Member States.
In-Depth Review 2023 — Slovakia
Institutional Paper 223 / SWD(2023)643; relevant country-surveillance output, no individual byline.
In-Depth Review 2024 — Slovakia
Institutional Paper 276 / SWD(2024)84; relevant country-surveillance output, no individual byline.
In-Depth Review 2025 — Slovakia
Institutional Paper 315; relevant country-surveillance output, no individual byline.
Country Report Slovakia 2023
Institutional Paper 249 / SWD(2023)625; institutional Commission output.
Country Report Slovakia 2024
SWD(2024)625; institutional Commission output.
Country Report Slovakia 2025
European Semester country report; institutional Commission output.
Alert Mechanism Report 2024
Institutional Paper 261; country sections prepared with Member State directorates; individual desk contributors not named.
Slovakia RRP revision — Proposal for a Council Implementing Decision
COM(2023)375; formal output of the Slovak RRP revision project.
Analysis of the Recovery and Resilience Plan of Slovakia
SWD(2023)238; institutional output linked to the 2023 Slovak plan revision.
Analysis of the Recovery and Resilience Plan of Malta
SWD(2023)235; institutional output linked to Malta RRF work.
European Central Bank / ESRB
Caution: do not cross! Capital buffers and lending in Covid-19 times
ECB Working Paper 2644; Nikolas Mayer explicitly acknowledged by name.
Caution: Do Not Cross! Distance to Regulatory Capital Buffers and Corporate Lending in a Downturn
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking; peer-reviewed version retaining the acknowledgement.
How to release capital requirements during a pandemic? Evidence from euro area banks
ECB Working Paper 2720; Nikolas Mayer explicitly acknowledged for suggestions and comments.
Bank capital buffers and lending in the euro area during the pandemic
ECB Financial Stability Review special feature; related research output without individual credit.
Monetary policy: the challenges ahead
ECB publication; Nikolas Mayer explicitly credited twice for helping prepare panel summaries.
EU banks after the crisis: sinners in the hands of angry markets
Journal of Banking and Financial Economics; acknowledgement for discussions and preliminary work.
Příběh roku 2015: Česko se nadechlo. Ekonomika roste a nezaměstnanost je rekordně nízko
Hospodářské noviny; named media contribution during the ESRB assignment.
European Commission — traineeship 2014–2015
Country Report Sweden 2015 — Including an In-Depth Review
SWD(2015)46 / Occasional Paper 226; contains the Commission housing-price and interest-rate shock model.
Country Report United Kingdom 2015 — Including an In-Depth Review
SWD(2015)47; analytical and statistical support to the report.
Swedish and Danish housing-market Economic Brief
Later Commission publication reusing/citing the Swedish interest-rate shock results from the 2015 analysis.
European Parliament — public files
Digital euro — ECON report
A10-0185/2026; file worked on in ECON.
Recovery and Resilience Facility implementation report
A10-0098/2025; joint BUDG/ECON report.
Market Integration and Supervision Package — Settlement Finality
2025/0381(COD), COM(2025)0941.
Market Integration and Supervision Package — Directive
2025/0382(COD), COM(2025)0942.
Market Integration and Supervision Package — Regulations
2025/0383(COD), COM(2025)0943.
Securitisation — prudential rules
A10-0137/2026 / 2025/0825(COD).
Securitisation — STS framework
A10-0138/2026 / 2025/0826(COD).
Post-2027 Fund / NRPP architecture
2025/0240(COD), COM(2025)0565.